What blog or resource is complete without a list of predictions. Fortunately for me, we are in March and I can safely include Josh Bersin's eLearning predictions for 2004:
2004 Industry Predictions
1. The LMS Market will grow steadily at 15% or more and at least one other major vendor will merge.
2. Rapid E-Learning and SME-Authored Content will become a red-hot market.
3. Blended Learning will continue to grow and become a mainstream approach to e-learning.
4. Live E-Learning will mature and one or more vendors will merge.
5. Training Analytics will become a mandatory feature of LMS solutions.
6. The “e-learning simulation market” will become better understood but still highly fragmented.
7. Content development will continue to move “in-house” and result in an upsurge in the market for LCMS and development tools.
8. The “packaged” e-learning market will grow rapidly and evolve with new approaches and technologies far beyond “page turning.”
9. EPSS, “Learning on Demand,” and workflow-oriented e-learning will be a hot initiative in most companies by the end of 2004.
10. 2004 Will be an exciting year in e-learning.
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